6:30 AM, Sunday, November 30, 2014

As of 6:30 AM a sharp cold front is through Cheyenne and it will move south through the Front Range this morning. Temperatures are likely to fall through the 30s this afternoon and into the teens this evening (maybe a few single digits in the cold spots by Monday morning). Monday should see some sun and temperatures will likely rise above freezing with mild weather by Tuesday.

Some light snow is likely in the Cheyenne area, but the chance for accumulating snow along the Front Range is small. Front Range residents should expect some low clouds and a little light freezing drizzle in the lower foothills and plains by this evening.

The impact in western Colorado should be pretty minor.

10:00 AM, Friday, November 28, 2014.

The record high for Denver today is 72 and for Boulder it’s 69. We will get close, but may not quite reach it due to a large amount of cirrus clouds in the area. Saturday will be mild and dry statewide again, and then Sunday should turn cooler but stay dry.

No significant storms or severe cold are expected over the next week. A storm that brings beneficial rain & snow to California early next week will likely bring at least some light snowfall to the Colorado mountains, especially west-facing slopes, in the mid-week period.

1:00 PM, Monday, November 24, 2014

It’s looking like a mild, dry period statewide for Colorado from Thanksgiving Day through Saturday, and maybe colder Sunday.

Until then, cool and windy will be the theme. Those west-northwest winds may become quite strong Tuesday beginning in the pre-dawn hours. Prepare for frequent gusts to 50 mph and maybe some local areas reaching 70 mph in and immediately along the foothills.

Some periods of snow are likely in the high mountains. Most Front Range areas will be dry, but some brief flurries or sprinkles are possible through Tuesday night.

If you are traveling, there is a major East Coast storm Wednesday and Wednesday night. It should be mostly rain in the coastal cities with snow inland. Expect some delays for airports in the Washington DC to Boston corridor, and possibly a ripple effect of delays to other airports as well.

12:30 MST, Friday, November 21, 2014

Front Range foothills and eastern plains:

Enjoy a mild Saturday and then a change to colder weather Sunday-Tuesday, but not bitter cold. After low 50s in the lower elevations Saturday, we are likely to be mainly in the mid 30s to around 40 Sunday -Tuesday. Lots of Pacific moisture will be affecting the mountains, but the air mass will be drying as it moves east of the continental divide. So little or no snow is expected on this side except as you get close to the continental divide (west of Peak to Peak Hwy). It may be breezy at times.

Mountains and western Colorado:

Pacific moisture will likely bring occasional widespread snow to western areas and the mountains from Saturday afternoon through Tuesday night. There will be lull periods alternating with periods of significant accumulation in the mountains, especially west-facing slopes where three day totals are likely to run in the 10-20 inch range. Some of that should make it over to the higher areas of the Front Range like Brainard Lake.  The periods where significant accumulation appear most likely are Saturday evening into early Sunday, and again on Monday.

Thanksgiving:

There was some uncertainty over the last couple days regarding a storm system moving in from the Pacific next week. It now appears likely that Wednesday-Friday next week will see pleasant late autumn weather statewide.

If you are traveling there are no obvious huge storms for Wednesday and Thursday, but there is a big storm just skimming the East Coast that will be watched.  It is very likely that bitter cold weather will be in place over the upper midwest, Great Lakes, and Ohio Valley.

12:30 PM, Friday, November 14, 2014

A cold front will be moving southward down the Front Range Saturday morning. Light snow is likely to develop behind the front and end before Sunday morning in most areas except maybe down near the New Mexico border. There may be a few short periods of moderate intensity snow.

Accumulation: generally 1-3 inches for the Cheyenne to Colorado Springs corridor, but some local areas of 3-5 inches are possible in and near the foothills. This time around the mountain areas near and west of the continental divide are getting snow too, with many mountain areas likely to get more than 6 inches beginning this evening.

Cold: Saturday afternoon is likely to drop into the teens and Sunday’s temperatures are likely stay in the 20s. Sunday and Monday mornings are likely to be in the 0-10 range with some high elevation valleys going below zero.

And now, for the climate enthusiasts… Denver’s record low on Thursday of -14 and Boulder’s record of -11 were both historic and the earliest it had ever been so cold. But observations can be tricky. Denver’s records have only been at DIA since 1996 and its previous locations (Stapleton, and downtown before that) tend to run warmer than DIA on calm, snow-covered nights. Boulder’s official climate station was established in 1990. The pre-1990 record in Boulder was often in non-standard exposure, like rooftops, which introduces a warm bias, especially on very cold nights. For that reason, neither of these locations are suitable for detailed studies of temperature trend. But one thing is for sure, we are having a historic November cold wave.

12:30 PM, Wednesday, Nov 12, 2014

Thursday morning may be the coldest morning. The temperature in Casper, Wyoming this morning was -25, the coldest November reading of record. Remarkable considering it’s early in the month. Fairbanks, Alaska is expecting low 40s today and their average high is closer to what we are getting here!

The temperature will likely vary between -5 and -10 tonight with a few valley areas a bit colder than -10. Boulder’s record low for Thursday morning is -6 (not -2 as I erroneously stated in yesterday’s blog).  There is a chance we will break that and also set a record for the coldest so early in the season. Denver’s record low on Thursday is -3, and they will likely break that. If they get to -9, it will be the coldest for so early in the year. Nederland is not likely to get as cold in this kind of situation, but it may still be in the zero range up there.

Snow has been quite variable, with some of the highest amounts (3-6 inches) immediately along the foothills and less to the east and to the west. The west side of Boulder has seen 7-12 inches! The clouds will begin to thin today, and there may be peaks of sky tonight through Friday. But more Pacific moisture is likely to bring mountain snow to the western side of the continental divide Thursday night with only a slight chance for a little bit getting to the Front Range lower elevations. The Front Range region may see temperatures go above freezing on Friday, But don’t get used to it yet!

A storm system on Saturday is likely to bring more cold and snow. Snow is likely Friday night and Saturday in the western mountains (especially north of I-70) with 6+ inches in many mountain areas. For the Front Range, snow is likely Saturday afternoon into early Sunday. It’s still uncertain how bad it will be, but right now it’s looking like 3-6 inches in and along the foothills and 1-3 across eastern Denver Metro and Weld County.

12:30 PM, Tuesday, November 11, 2014

More cold air will push down through eastern Wyoming into eastern Colorado giving us our coldest 36 hours beginning Tuesday night. And there will be more snow accumulation too. Morning lows on Wednesday should be mostly in the 0 to 5 degree range and on Thursday morning expect mostly -6 to 0 readings. Wednesday maximum temperatures are likely to be within a few degrees of 10.

The snow has been and will continue to be very fluffy, so just a small amount of moisture goes a long way. From Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday afternoon expect additional totals to range 1-4 inches, with the higher end of that range more likely in and near the foothills and Palmer Divide of Boulder, Jefferson, Gilpin, and Douglas counties, as well as north of the Wyoming state line into the Cheyenne area. The best chance for accumulation on roadways will be this evening through Wednesday morning.

On Thursday we may see occasional thinning of the overcast and on Friday we will probably see temperatures rise above freezing. But it still looks like another cold front and chance for snow arrives sometime Saturday.

The record lows on Wednesday and Thursday for Denver are -4 and -3, and for Boulder they are -6 and -2. We probably won’t break records on Wednesday morning, but there is certainly a chance on Thursday morning.