Weekend: Some snow in mountains; Front Range foothills and plains dry, but cooler Sunday

12:30 PM MDT, Friday, November 3, 2017

Front Range foothills and eastern plains

Dry weather with unseasonably warm weather is expected Saturday along with some areas of gusty winds. Mainly dry weather should continue behind a cold front Sunday and temperatures will likely be closer to seasonal norms (high of mid-upper 50s in the urban corridor). There may be some areas of clouds Sunday but there is very little chance for precipitation. The next chance for precipitation is on Tuesday, but that will probably be minor if there is any at all.

Mountains

Areas of snow are likely in the higher mountains beginning Saturday and lasting into Sunday. There will likely be some areas with more than 6 inches near and west of the higher ridges, including some high passes. There could also be a few rain or snow showers in the western valleys.

Daylight Saving Time ends

The clocks go back an hour Sunday morning, so you get an extra hour in your weekend!

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Strong cold front late Sunday

2:00 PM, Saturday, October 28, 2017

A strong cold front, similar to the one on Thursday, will move north-to-south down the Front Range late Sunday. A period of low clouds and a few areas of light precipitation are  likely Sunday evening and Monday.

Sunday should start mild but may begin to turn cold during the afternoon north of Denver, perhaps toward evening to the south. There isn’t a lot of moisture with it, but there should be enough combined with the upslope flow to form low clouds and maybe a few areas of drizzle or freezing drizzle along the lower foothills and adjacent plains. There is even a small chance for a period of snow if we manage to get some mid and high level moisture (that provides the ice crystals that help snowflakes form). Accumulations should be minor, if any.

 

Halloween is looking dry but cool, with milder weather by midweek.

Sharp cold front Thursday

1:00 PM, Wednesday, October 25, 2017

A strong cold front will surge down the Front Range Thursday morning through mid day bringing much colder weather to the Front Range and eastern plains along with low clouds and maybe some areas of light precipitation. Cold weather should continue through Saturday morning, but dry weather is expected after Thursday evening.

 

Behind the cold front there will likely be low clouds and some local areas of drizzle or freezing drizzle. It’s looking like there could even be a period of light snow in the midday through early evening period, depending on where you are. Accumulation should be minor, if any. West Slope areas are less likely to feel as much impact.

Dry & Windy Cold Front on Saturday

2:05 PM MDT, Friday, October 13, 2017

A cold front will sweep from west to east across the Front Range region on Saturday keeping temperatures in the 50s in the lower elevation. There is little moisture with it so there should only be a few clouds and probably no precipitation. Wind may be the most noticeable feature, especially in the higher mountains where it may feel quite chilly. Along the east slopes and high plains of the Front Range there may be a periods of cool gusty winds Saturday and Saturday evening.

 

After a frosty start on Sunday it should be milder and less windy, with above-average temperatures returning Monday and Tuesday.

 

 

Season’s first snowfall across all elevations begins tonight

10:15 AM MDT, Sunday, October 8, 2017

A strong cold front this evening will be followed by snow (possibly beginning briefly as rain) through at least Monday morning. Accumulations are expected across all elevations.

 

Timing

Cold front: The main cold front should move north to south through the Front Range region this evening.

Precipitation: Snow higher elevations and rain lower elevations should begin in most areas before midnight.

Snow: Rain should change to snow in the lower elevations around midnight (a bit earlier north of metro Denver, later down in Colorado Springs). The best chance for heavy snow should be late tonight and Monday morning.

Clearing: Snow will taper off and end from north to south Monday afternoon and evening. Clear of partially clear skies are probable by Tuesday morning.

Accumulations

Mountains and foothills: generally 6-10 inches, some local areas around a foot

Near the foothills and Palmer Divide (Cheyenne, Fort Collins, Boulder, Broomfield, west & south sides of metro Denver, Castle Rock): 4-8 inches mainly by noon Monday

Other areas of the plains (east side of Fort Collins, Longmont, DIA, Colorado Springs): 2-4 inches.

 

Impact:

Tree damage/power outages: because the trees are still leafed out, there may be broken branches and damaged power lines in some places.

Roads: likely to becomes snow packed in the higher mountains and passes. In the lower elevations in may get snow packed and icy during intervals of heavier snow late tonight and Monday morning, but it should be mainly slushy or wet otherwise.

Freeze: Under clear (or partially clear) skies we should see temperatures in the 20s Tuesday morning across the Front Range urban corridor, and maybe a few local cold spots in the upper teens.

 

Wet snow Monday, all elevations

5:50 AM, Saturday, October 7, 2017

This is just a quick update from yesterday’s blog to say there is high confidence that the lower elevations of the Front Range (including the urban corridor) will see the first measurable snow Monday. The chances of more than 4 inches have increased too for the lower elevations, with more than 10 in some foothills localities. Given that the trees are still fully leafed out, you should prepare for the possibility of leaf damage and power outages, just in case. A hard freeze is likely on Tuesday morning,

First low elevation snow Monday?

5:45 AM, Friday, October 6, 2017

A weak disturbance and cool front moving through today may create a few cloudy intervals and an isolated shower or two. Then after a mild weekend a strong cold front on Sunday evening will bring cold weather and probably hard freezes and some snow early next week.

 

The air mass moving in Sunday night should be cold enough for snow at all elevations, but the questions are whether there will be substantial precipitation and whether that precipitation will last long enough to change to snow. Right now it appears likely that there will be at least measurable snow Monday or Monday evening along the Front Range and adjacent plains. But it appears less likely (but not yet ruled out) that there will be more than 4 inches in the lower elevations. Get ready for widespread frosts and freezes early next week too.